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Articles by Donald E. L. Johnson

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Today is Wednesday, May 22, 2013


Colorado economy is holding its own

Alison Felix, economist and branch executive of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City's Denver Branch offers a slide presentation on the Colorado economy vs. the rest of the country. It's a good overview.

Posted by Donald E. L. Johnson on 05/09/13 at 12:03 PM
ColoradoEconomicsPermalink

Obama Democrats see Benghazi as non event; Benghazi Hillary Clinton still could become president

Obama Democrats think Benghazi is a non event. Nixon Republicans felt the same way for years. Some still feel that way.

 
During Watergate, the Media spin was harshly anti-Nixon, and so was I from the day I heard about the break in. I was  a Nixon Republican. 
 
Today, 95% of political reporters think Obama is charming, skilled and doing the right thing on most issues. I don't think that. I think he's incompetent, dishonest and divisive. And I think that's how the GOP base feels. There is as much bias in the audience as in the media—as always.
 
During the 2012 campaign Democrats skillfully and successfully used the Moocher Nation's greed for government handouts to generate the biggest turnout of minority voters—their base—in history. Republicans failed to turn out their base, the makers, because the makers felt secure and really had nothing to fight for.
 
In 2014, the tables could [See below for the reason I'm tenative on this.] turn on the Democrats. The huge anger that I and other Republicans felt against Nixon in 1972 (for me) and 1974 is rising against Obama Democrats. They don't get the anger and fear that they're creating, but it's there, and it's mounting.
 
Equally important, desperate Republicans campaign strategists are starting to get how their base feels. They're recognizing that the Washington, DC, culture, which accepts and thrives on crony capitalism, anti-Americanism, pro-illeral immigration and Big Government corruption doesn't play well in the Red states that control the House, if not the Senate. 
 
Benghazi Clinton lied and is lying for Obama. He is so successful in hiring liars for Obama and using their lack of integrity to advance his political agenda that half of the country and much of the world  believes that neither he nor his appointees or supporters can be believed nor trusted. 
 
Since 70% of Americans lie and cheat in one way or another, as shown by their support for Obama Democrats and polls of high school students who say they cheat to get into the colleges of their choices, Obama is not as vulnerable as he should be, especially among young Obama Democrats.
 
But the trust question is out there, and the GOP must exploit it. The problem is that the pro amnesty and Gang of Eight immigration senators are doing all they can to show that Republicans in Congress are as greedy for power at the expense of the American people as the Democrats are.
 
So the GOP still can blow it, and Benghazi Clinton still has a pretty good chance of becoming president. Obama, illegal immigration and the Moocher nation have corrupted America, and we may never recover.
 
LINKS:
 
Posted by Donald E. L. Johnson on 05/09/13 at 08:45 AM
EthicsTrustPermalink

Nobody knows what will happen to Syria

We don't know what Syria will look like when its 2- to 20-plus years civil war exhausts itself. 

 
We don't know whether the surviving Syria will be one country or broken into several countries.
 
We don't know whether the surviving Syria will be strong enough to control Lebanon or be controlled by Iran, Russia, Turkey and/or Egypt.
 
We don't seem to know who to support. We only know that it's not Assad.
 
Further, we don't know whether the liars for Obama are spreading propaganda to scare Americans out of supporting stronger American military measures or to spread misinformation that somehow will enhance our non policy on Syria and the Middle East.
 
In the Internet age, not knowing is a new, haunting experience.
Posted by Donald E. L. Johnson on 05/04/13 at 05:45 AM
Permalink

Iowa GOP suicide bombers don’t even want to run for the Senate; they know they’d be demonized

The Iowa GOP is having a tough time finding a candidate for the U.S. Senate who could win the party's nomination and the election. UPDATE: Rep. Steve King (R-IA) won't run.

Potential Iowa GOP Senate candidates who could beat a Democrat know they would be crucified by Rick Santorum social issues fanatics.

 

Santorum's fans and activists, unlike most liberal and Small Government Christians, are not only very Christian like a lot of liberal Christians, they're also nasty and vicious.

Anti-abortion GOP activists (as opposed to non activists) play dirty and try to silence their opponents. They're just like liars for Obama. 

So potentially strong, Small Government Iowa GOP candidates aren't running. We're likely to see the same thing happen in the Colorado Senate contest. Sen. Mark Udall (D-CO) looks unbeatable.

The Iowa GOP base is all about making anti-abortion and anti-gay marriage statements, not about winning elections.

So why would a smart GOP politician waste time seeking his party's nomination?

Hard right Rep. Steve King is the kind of GOP foot-in-mouth candidate Democrats love to demonize. He makes it easy. And maybe he knows that and doesn't want to waste his time, either? That's why he's still undecided.

It's a sad time for the Washington GOP establishment. It seems to have a death wish when it comes to backing candidates. As for the base Republicans who only vote for Rick Santorum suicide bombers, hey, you only live once.

Posted by Donald E. L. Johnson on 05/03/13 at 07:02 AM
Campaign MgmtCongress 113thPermalink

Medium.com is a powerful, interesting new social media site for users of twitter, Facebook

One of the advantages of having been on social media sites for some 30 years is that I've experienced the fun of being on CompuServe, Internet message boards, this blog since 2003, newspapers' comments sections, twitter and FaceBook.

And now we have another social media site that I rediscovered this morning on twitter.com. 

http://www.Medium.com announced its plans last year, and I registered as a member, but I didn't realize that it was up and running until I saw its tweet a few hours ago. 

After signing in with my RealDonJohnson twitter account, I read a few articles and then dug into the "About" pages. (You may have to sign in with your twitter account to read that and other links I'm going to post here.)

Medium appears to be for people who want to write real articles, not just 140 word tweets or one-paragraph posts on FaceBook.

The site wants people to follow its style books, use its specified dictionaries and write "percent" instead of "%", which takes only one keystroke. I'm a "%" kinda guy. But if I decide to post on Medium, I'll try to use their style, which I think will keep a fair number of contributors away.

The next thing I read in the "About" section was a very detailed explantion of how "authors" and commenters can use the site. Writers can authorize readers to post "notes" next to sentences and paragraphs, not far away, deep in the middle of 1,000 comments posted below the article.

Notes appear in the margins of the page, right next to the sentence or paragraph they address. Notes writers are limited to only 200 characters per note, and you can't break those notes into paragraphs.

Long blocks of type are unreadable and unread. I believe in short paragraphs—the old Chicago Daily News style.

What's great about Medium's notes is that an author can turn them off, zap trolls and nasty comments and reply to those who post notes. And the author is the "moderator" and can make useless and nasty notes (flames) invisible to all but the author and the note writer.

In other words, authors and commenters can have real conversations. I'm hoping that Medium's authors will engage their writers. Few if any reporters for blogs, news sites like Politico.com or WSJ.com interact with commenters. I think that's a mistake and missed opportunity to engage readers.

Articles are posted in what Medium calls "collections". There are dozens of them. Sign in and take a look.

LINKS:

http://www.medium.com

http://www.twitter.com

http://www.facebook.com

Posted by Donald E. L. Johnson on 05/02/13 at 12:51 PM
MediaTechnologyPermalink

Who do we blame for ObamaCare, the unAffordable Care Act? Big Government corrupts

Who do we blame for soaring health insurance premiums?

You can blame AARP, health insurers, doctors and hospitals and the politicians that they paid with campaign contributions to distort the health insurance and health care markets.

And you can blame uninformed, unorganized and powerless voters for letting the Henry Waxmans of Congress and every president since JFK for making it all go wrong.

Health care is big money and big government.

Big government spends big money.

Big money in the hands of Big Government corrupts. 

Big government corrupts politicians, campaign contributors, drug companies, hospital administrators, physicians and regulators who have anything to do with distorting our health insurance and health care markets.

That's why America's huge government is and looks so corrupt. We're a third world country now.


ObamaCare backlash grows; why community rating best thing in Affordable Care Act

The backlash against ObamaCare (Affordable Care Act, which is an oxymoron) is soaring among small businesses and their workers who are losing jobs and having their hours and take home pay cut while health insurance premiums are set to soar in 2014.

Premiums will soar as community rating, the best thing in ObamaCare, and expensive new mandated benefit plans kick in in 2014. The impact of community rating will be mostly a one-time event. Community rating protects the sick and most people over 40 from being discrimated against by employers because of their health status and age as I've written here. Please see the links at the bottom of that November 2009 blog for more information about community rating.

Expensive new mandated benefits designed to enrich providers and alternative care providers will keep premiums soaring until they're repealed and revised.

I've tweeted this morning at RealDonJohnson:

#ObamaCare backlash builds. #Community rating not problem. Benefit plans are.  http://on.wsj.com/11Rzaur 

Why #community rating 1 of best things in #ObamaCare. http://tiny.cc/erwcww

 

LINKS:

 

How to reform health insurance markets. The Business Word.

U.S. needs community rates for health risks. By Donald E. L. Johnson

Risk rating leaves people without health insurance; shows need for community rating. The Business Word.

Mark Hillman bill rigs market for Anthem Blue Cross. The Business Word.

Mandated health benefits in Colorado increase the cost of health insurance up to 50%. The Business Word.


Greed for power drives immigration reform

There is no greed like the greed for power that is driving the Republican establishment's push for "comprehensive immigration reform" even when it involves a "poorly crafted", dishonest, unworkable immigration bill that is unworkable and never would be enforced by President Obama or his successors.

The GOP's leaders like Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Mexico) think that if they back the most flawed immigration bill since the 2007 immigration bill Hispanic voters will give more support to the party's Congressional and presidential candidates. I don't think Hispanics will vote GOP, because the GOP is not of supportive of the Moocher Nation as Democrats are. Like Obama and other hard left Democrats, Hispanics think the government's job is to feed them and give them free health care.

That is why I think that the WSJ and Murdoch are way off base on immigration reform. They're pushing Congress to pass a flawed, dishonest and unworkable bill that never would be enforced if it became law. Obama and previous presidents haven't enforced border security for decades, and there is no reason to believe Obama would enforce a stronger law. He doesn't believe in the rule of law or in the U.S. Constitution.

I'm for the one-issue-at-a-time approach. Anyone pushing "comprehensive immigration reform" doesn't want reform, because it would be impossible to get through the House, if not the corrupt Senate.

What I'm for is a bill that would allow the members of the 11 million illegal immigrants who have paid their health care and education bills, paid local and national property and income taxes directly or indirectly, and obeyed our laws to stay as permanent residents.

No one who has illegally immigrated by violating our border security laws and regulations should be allowed on a path to citizenship. We should not reward those who've immigrated illegally and corrupted our politicians, judges, lawyers, journalists and academics with citizenship.

As for workers, the only ones we want are those who are educated, trained and capable of supporting themselves and their families. We don't need the sick, weak, illiterate, uneducated recruits for food stamps, Medicaid, Medicare and Social Security.

And we don't need illegal immigrants who think the S. W. USA should return to Mexico.

Posted by Donald E. L. Johnson on 04/29/13 at 02:04 PM
Congress 113thEthicsTrustImmigration ReformPermalink

Xcel Energy: Wind power subsidies benefit developers, not utilities nor consumers

Excel Energy, the biggest wind energy producer in America, says that it may not sign up for more wind energy because the subsidies extended as part of the bill that saved 99% of Americans from income tax increases inclluded some $40 billion in pork for developers of wind power farms and their suppliers like General Electric.

The wind production tax credit (PTC) disguises the cost of wind energy and exacerbates the costs of other types of enery sources, Excel's lobbyist said in a statement reported by The Foundry blog, which is part of the Heritage Network..

Excel has raised rates to pay for its "clean energy" investments in Colorado and Minnesota. Many of its wind farms are around our farm in SW Minnesota. That it isn't likely to buy more towers is another reason for us to not put towers on our farm. I've been agaisnt the towers because they're ugly, noisy and likely to be eyesores for decades after they wear out and cease to produce energy. Most important, we don't like being part of an uneconomic enterprise subsidized at the rate of $8.5 billion $10 billion a year by consumers and taxpayers for no good reasons. 

LINKS:

The Hidden Costs of Wind Energy; Why the full cost of wind generation is unlikely to match the cost of natural gas, coal or nuclear generation, By American Tradition Institute.

The hidden costs of wind power, by Institute for Energy Research.

Top wind utility: Wind subsidy benefits industry, not consumers, by Lachlan Markay, The Foundry blog.

Wind turbines 'Only lasting for half as long as previously thought,' by Energy Tribune.

The Democratic war on science, by Steven Hayward at Powerline blog.

Science must be seen to bridge the political divide; Scientists in the United States are often perceived as a Democratic interest grouip. For science's sake this has to change, by Daniel Sarewitz @ http://www.nature.com.

Posted by Donald E. L. Johnson on 01/07/13 at 02:31 PM
AgricultureFarmingCongress 112thStocksEnergy StocksTaxesPermalink

Education is key to a less violent, more healthy and prosperous America

Without more and better educated people we have:

1. Fewer marriages and more broken marriages.
2. More unemployed and hard core unemployed who blame the educated for their plights.
3. More violence, killing, crimes and imprisonments.
4. More obese, unhealthy and self-destructive people who don't understand doctors' orders nor comply with them.
5. More indiscriminate hate, blame shifting and uninformed and thoughtless voting.
6. Weaker and more biased educators who care little about the kids they teach and more about their days off, health care and pension benefits and salaries.
7. Weaker, more self-centered politicians who get away with lying and blame shifting because there aren't enough educated Americans to keep them honest.
8. The Moocher Nation.
 
We won't solve any of our social and cultural problems until we overthrow teachers unions and start graduating kids who can read, comprehend, write and deal with reality.
 
As long as school boards, state legislatures, Congress and the President ignore America's biggest problem, no other problems will be resolved. Education can be improved without spending more money. Indeed, less spending on education, especially at the federal level, would improve eductional outcomes and our standard of living in so many ways.
 
Posted by Donald E. L. Johnson on 12/30/12 at 12:09 PM
EconomyEducationPermalink

House GOP in charge on fiscal cliff, debt ceiling; what it should demand from Obama

Divider-in-Chief Obama is sending America over the fiscal cliff he created and is trying to use to turn America into a one-party, Chicago style corrupt and bankrupt country. Sec. of Treasury Geithner, a leading liar for Obama, says the country will reach the debt ceiling on Dec. 31, 2012, Previously he had warned the ceiling would be reached in February.  All House GOP Members should sign a letter to Obama that says the debt ceiling will be raised for one year when: 

1. Obama/Reid present a budget for fiscal 2013 that cuts government spending to less than 19% of GDP and can pass through the House committees and House GOP. 
2. Obama/Reid present a budget with real and significant cuts in discretionary and entitlement spending and restoration of critical Defense Dept. budgets. 
3. Obama/Reid announce their support for the U.S. Constitution and pledge to enforce the Constitution and the separation of powers among the House, Senate, Supreme Court and WH. 
4. Obama/Reid present a budget that defunds ObamaCare exchanges, pork, powers to dictate and mandate health insurance benefits and makes all government agencies subject to Congressional oversight, budgeting and approval of top appointees to those agencies.

Keep health care providers out of the health insurance business

The Wall Street Journal reports that some health care systems are getting into the health insurance business.

Gosh, how history repeats itself. Back in the 80s and 90s, several so-called "integrated" health systems got burned in the health insurance business. They didn't have insurance expertise, financial resources, market clout or credibility with individuals, employers or regulators. So most failed.

Hospitals and docs created Blue Cross and Blue Shield back in the 30s to make sure that they got paid the way they wanted to be paid, patients and payers be damned. That scam worked for decades until Medicare/Medicaid and smarter employers came along and forced the Blues to work for the payers instead of the providers.

If hospital systems try to compete with national health insurers, they'll lose the price wars even if they are the providers. This is because the national insurers have the financial and political resources and the market share that will allow them to crush the providers' plans whenever they decide to do that.

Over the last 35 to 40 years, too many hospital administrators have gotten their institutions into businesses that they knew little about, and they cost those institutions millions. Or, I should say, they ran up huge losses that they recovered by over-charging insurers and self-insured patients.

Most health care administrators are too smart to get into the insurance business. But their medical staffs get frustrated with insurers and demand that the hospital systems go into the health insurance, medical supply, group purchasing or whatever business the docs think will help them become richer.

Any board of directors that lets its CEO take it into what will be a money-losing, over-regulated business such as health insurance strikes me as being either incompetent, manipulated, self serving and/or all of the above.

State and federal legislators and regulators should not only outlaw health care providers from getting into the health insurance business, they also should enact anti-trust laws that break up the big regional and national health care chains and insurers.


How to make a fiscal cliff deal on Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security

Democrats and Republicans are deeply divided within each party as well as between parties on how to avert putting the country over the "fiscal cliff," which really is a slope, not a cliff. As a Small Government Republican Medicare beneficiary who's benefited from the free gift of Part D, cheap Medicare premiums, tax credits on home mortgages and coverage of primary care services that I should be paying for out of pocket, here's the deal I would like to see:

1. Make Medicare and Medicaid catastrophic programs only. Drop all the wellness and primary care nonsense that enriches providers and often hurts patients with false positives and harmful procedures.

2. Take all Congressionally imposed mandated benefits out of M/M.

3. Take all payments for teaching and medical research out of M/M. Fund them in separate bills and programs.

4. Breakup regional and metro hospital systems, medical groups and national health insurers.

5. Free seniors to buy non Medicare health insurance plans that cover primary care, wellness care and alternative care services without any Medicare subsidies for those premiums.

6. Raise premiums on all parts of Medicare. They're ridiculously low. 

7. Raise co-pays for all primary/preventive care and lower co/pays on catastrophically expensive cases.

8. Make Medicare Advantage enrollees pay the full premiums for the expanded coverage. 

9. Use money saved by eliminating coverage of provider-enriching preventive and wellness services to cover long-term care expenses that become catastrophically expensive as a percentage of the beneficiary's wealth, including the value of a a home or other investments. If someone is worth, say, $5 million, and long-term care costs, say, $80,000 to $100,000 a year, let that person pay for that care. If the person is worth $500,000 or less, Medicare could pay. That's the Moocher Nation way, of course.

10. Eliminate the death tax. Keep taxes on capital gains and dividends at 15%. No tax increases on the rich unless everyone gets income tax increases. Shrink the number of people who don't pay income taxes, get food stamps and are fraudulently filing disability claims.

11. Keep SS/Medicare enrollments at current ages. Change CPI calculations to reflect real inflation, which is a lot higher than the CPI shows today.


How farmers can get more folks up to date on agriculture

Sec. of Agriculture Tom Vilsack, a former governor of Iowa, warns that if rural America, or farmers, don't become more like other Moocher Nation Democrats, they'll lose even more influence in Washington, according to the left-leaning Associated Press story pubished on Politico.com. My comment on the story:

As the owner of a farm, I know that farmers are a big part of the Moocher Nation. We get our crop subsidies, government money to improve our land and nice tax credits for all kinds of things like having kids and getting home mortgages. 

At the same time, the mostly Red States that gave the GOP control of the House are more rural than most Blue states. So farm states still have some clout.

The problem is that folks like Sen. Grassley (R-IA), a corn and beans farmer, defends and advocates Moocher Nation ag subsidies like ethanol, which are a huge indirect tax on urban American and rural America alike. Ethanol and wind power scams and ag subsidy programs, which is a lot of members of Congress are responding to voters demands that ethanol and wind power programs be cut from the Federal budget.

Now, the federal money and ethanol money is nice to have and hard to give up.

That farmers work for every penny is described in a wonderful book, Farm, a year in the life of an American farmer, by Richard Rhodes. 

Agribusinesses should distribute Rhodes' book to every high school and college English teacher in the country and offer free copies to teachers who want to assign it to their students. And farmers should make sure that English and lit teachers in their high schools and community colleges assign the book to every student.

At the same time, the book should be distributed in lots of 10 to every Congressional office and all of the employees of the USDA, EPA and Commerce Dept. Those folks are readers. Give them a good read.

Econ books have used the grain markets to demonstrate the principles of supply and demand. The agribusiness world should encourage this and promote more ag econ teaching in community colleges and colleges.

Too see how high tech and complicated farming is, check out Iowa State University's curriculum for its ag majors. 

Meanwhile, the Sec. of Agriculture is just unhappy that his wife lost her run for Congress in Iowa and that farmers put aside their personal financial interests and voted for their country and Romney, not for Divider-in-Chief Obama.

Maybe the farm bill would have a better chance if it didn't include so much spending on food stamps, which help too many of the near poor as the truly poor buy more junk food and bankrupt the country.

Posted by Donald E. L. Johnson on 12/08/12 at 05:28 PM
AgricultureFarmingBooksEducationMarketing and SalesPromotionsPermalink

How political candidates must engage voters online

Republicans are starting to figure out how they can match the Obama campaign's online political machine, Politico reports.  As far as I could tell, the GOP had and has no online game. They're starting from zero. My thoughts:

1. Find and support bloggers and commenters who can compete with Obama's online advocates and thugs. Romney got very little online support because he despises the media, bloggers and anyone who can think.

2. Recruit social media candidates, not folks who tweet news releases and polite platitudes the way Mitt Romney did and most Congressional candidates do. 

3. Teach the congressional candidates who can write and who have the smarts to debate online to engage folks on FaceBook, twitter and the comments sections of their local papers and broadcasters.

4. Make sure that candidates write their online posts and are online whenever they aren't fundraising or meeting voters. Social media only works when there are two-way conversations and numerous respondents to candidates'  posts.

5. Exploit databases that allow them to target supporters with relevant content, messages and fundraising appeals.

6. Beef up candidates' web sites. Publish candidates' goals, positions on issues, speeches, articles, and important posts along with supporting documents, bills, laws and regs. Go for the opinion leaders who use the web site4s to identify the candidates they will support.

7. Make sure that everything written, printed, published and said by a candidate includes several hard sales pitches for relevant social media, e-mail and web pages where voters can learn more and talk to the candidates.

8. Make candidates read their Facebook and twitter threads as well as comments about them by readers of sites like Politico, Daily Caller, FreeBeacon.com, WSJ.com, WashingtonPost.com, and on their local media web sites. Connect with voters by engaging them and showing that you have the guts to take risks for them.

9. Show people who comment and blog for a candidate that they're being read and heard by responding to them online and quoting a few of them in speeches and articles. Do something to show you're not in a sound proof, windowless bubble. Get people (not paid pundits or your paid online advocates) excited about being on your team.

10. Get political communications consultants out of the way. We don't believe them nor do we want to hear from them. If a candidate can't give a decent speech, write and engage voters online, that person shouldn't be in politics and will have a hard time winning an election. Ask Mitt Romney. He could give a C speech and write a B article, but he got an F from voters because he didn't engage or communicate with them. He never showed he was learning from the campaign.

LINKS:

GOP seeks to up its online game, by Emily Schultheis

Posted by Donald E. L. Johnson on 12/08/12 at 04:39 PM
Campaign MgmtConsultantse-commerceMarketing and SalesBloggingPromotionsPermalink
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